Roots, tubers and bananas in Central Africa are well suited for climate change
6 October 2021
“There’s little doubt these days that our climate will be quite different in the future,” said Rhys Manners, a data scientist based in Kigali, Rwanda with the International Institute of Tropical Agriculture (IITA) and co-author of the study. “But we’re not certain how these changes will impact the suitability of certain crops in specific regions, by mid-century. This study aimed to find out.”
By determining the suitability of crops in specific locations, researchers can provide advice like planting dates and variety selection so that farmers can mitigate the impact of climate change. The data can also help decision-makers plan long-term strategies and policies.
The study used modelling to analyze the future impacts of climate change on crop suitability of RT&B crops in the Great Lakes Region (GLR) of Central Africa. The GLR consists of seven countries (Burundi, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Kenya, Malawi, Rwanda, Tanzania, and Uganda) that border the African Great Lakes.
The study focused on four RT&B crops: banana, cassava, potato, and sweetpotato. They contribute up to 47% of daily caloric intake in the GLR. RT&B crops are critical for household food security and livelihoods in the GLR where smallholder farming systems are largely based on these crops. The potential impact of climate change on the livelihoods of these farmers can be devastating if a proactive approach isn’t implemented.
“We know that RT&B crops have a potential resilience to climate change,” said Manners. “Some have high drought stress tolerance and can thrive under high temperatures. But compared to other crop groups, we’re not certain how they will perform under the projected climate change in the GLR.”